• Ukraine has debuted its FP-7 ballistic missile in combat.
• Russia has launched a winter campaign targeting Ukrainian cities and infrastructure.
• Ukraine's Operation Vivaldi has retaken 176 square kilometers and inflicted 5,000 Russian casualties.
• The US$14 billion arms package for Taiwan remains stalled.

The introduction of Ukraine's FP-7 ballistic missile may signal a shift in Kyiv's military strategy, potentially indicating a greater emphasis on domestic strike capabilities. Russia's winter campaign suggests a focus on strategic coercion, which could lead to a prolonged and devastating conflict. The situation may indicate a growing reliance on industrial capacity and societal endurance, with both sides betting on their ability to outlast the other.