What Happened
Regional Rivalries Raise Risk of Interstate War in Horn of Africa
The conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray region has resumed, with the federal government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) clashing in a struggle that may have far-reaching implications for the region. The conflict has fused with Ethiopia’s quest for sovereign access to the Red Sea, which Eritrea sees as a threat to its port of Assab. The situation is further complicated by the involvement of regional players, including Egypt, which has its own interests in the Red Sea. The conflict may escalate into an interstate war, with significant humanitarian and strategic implications. This analysis was first reported by IndraStra Global.