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China's Comac to Secure 5% of World Market by 2045

Key Takeaways
  • Comac to command 5% of world fleet allocation by 2045.
  • Airbus and Boeing to maintain dominance despite emerging competition.
  • C919 to lead Comac's market growth.
  • Global demand for narrowbody jets remains strong.
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Strategic Implications

This forecast may indicate a gradual shift in market share towards emerging players like Comac, which could challenge the dominance of Airbus and Boeing. The growth of Comac's market share suggests a strengthening of China's position in the global aviation industry, which could have implications for trade and competition.

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What Happened

C919 Leads Charge as Emerging Players Gain Ground

According to Cirium’s aircraft fleet outlook, China’s Comac is expected to secure 5% of the world market by 2045, led by the C919 aircraft. Currently, Comac has a roughly 1% share of the world fleet allocation. The forecast suggests that Airbus and Boeing will continue to dominate the market, despite a gradual shift towards emerging manufacturers. This development was reported by the South China Morning Post.

Source | Originally Published: October 14, 2026

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JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS
JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS

China's Comac to Secure 5% of World Market by 2045

Sponsored by: Jumpseat Solutions
Key Takeaways
  • Comac to command 5% of world fleet allocation by 2045.
  • Airbus and Boeing to maintain dominance despite emerging competition.
  • C919 to lead Comac's market growth.
  • Global demand for narrowbody jets remains strong.
Sign in to view key takeaways Get full access to in-depth analysis and key takeaways.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Key Takeaways.
Upgrade
Strategic Implications

This forecast may indicate a gradual shift in market share towards emerging players like Comac, which could challenge the dominance of Airbus and Boeing. The growth of Comac's market share suggests a strengthening of China's position in the global aviation industry, which could have implications for trade and competition.

Sign in to view strategic implications Get full access to strategic analysis and expert insights.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Strategic Implications.
Upgrade

What Happened

C919 Leads Charge as Emerging Players Gain Ground

According to Cirium’s aircraft fleet outlook, China’s Comac is expected to secure 5% of the world market by 2045, led by the C919 aircraft. Currently, Comac has a roughly 1% share of the world fleet allocation. The forecast suggests that Airbus and Boeing will continue to dominate the market, despite a gradual shift towards emerging manufacturers. This development was reported by the South China Morning Post.

Source | Originally Published: October 14, 2026

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