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AEROSPACE NEWS

Aircraft Supply Constraints Expected to Last Until 2030

Key Takeaways
  • Airlines face difficulties securing new aircraft until at least 2030.
  • Engine and component supply issues cause delivery delays.
  • 43,000 aircraft are projected to be delivered between 2026 and 2045.
  • Supply chain disruptions cost the industry at least $11 billion in 2025.
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Strategic Implications

This forecast may indicate a prolonged period of supply chain disruptions, which could impact airlines' ability to expand and replace their fleets. The delays and increased costs may also affect the growth of air transport, making it increasingly dependent on manufacturers' delivery capacity.

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What Happened

Global Airlines Face Delivery Delays and Higher Costs

Airlines worldwide are expected to face difficulties securing new aircraft until at least 2030 due to engine and component supply issues, along with certification delays. According to Cirium’s forecast, around 43,000 passenger and cargo aircraft are projected to be delivered to airlines between 2026 and 2045, with a total value of $3.2 trillion. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reports that cumulative aircraft deliveries were more than 5,000 behind schedule as of June 2026. This article was first reported by an unknown source.

Source | Originally Published: October 16, 2026

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JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS
JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS

Aircraft Supply Constraints Expected to Last Until 2030

Sponsored by: Jumpseat Solutions
Key Takeaways
  • Airlines face difficulties securing new aircraft until at least 2030.
  • Engine and component supply issues cause delivery delays.
  • 43,000 aircraft are projected to be delivered between 2026 and 2045.
  • Supply chain disruptions cost the industry at least $11 billion in 2025.
Sign in to view key takeaways Get full access to in-depth analysis and key takeaways.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Key Takeaways.
Upgrade
Strategic Implications

This forecast may indicate a prolonged period of supply chain disruptions, which could impact airlines' ability to expand and replace their fleets. The delays and increased costs may also affect the growth of air transport, making it increasingly dependent on manufacturers' delivery capacity.

Sign in to view strategic implications Get full access to strategic analysis and expert insights.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Strategic Implications.
Upgrade

What Happened

Global Airlines Face Delivery Delays and Higher Costs

Airlines worldwide are expected to face difficulties securing new aircraft until at least 2030 due to engine and component supply issues, along with certification delays. According to Cirium’s forecast, around 43,000 passenger and cargo aircraft are projected to be delivered to airlines between 2026 and 2045, with a total value of $3.2 trillion. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reports that cumulative aircraft deliveries were more than 5,000 behind schedule as of June 2026. This article was first reported by an unknown source.

Source | Originally Published: October 16, 2026

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