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AEROSPACE NEWS

Business Jet Production to Peak in 2029 Before Downturn

Key Takeaways
  • Business jet production to rise from 752 in 2026 to 830 in 2029.
  • Production may dip to 604 in 2030 before recovering to 863 by 2035.
  • Forecast International expects 7,900 business jet deliveries from 2026 through 2035.
  • Large-cabin jets to account for 36.7% of deliveries over the forecast period.
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Strategic Implications

The projected downturn in 2030 may indicate a cyclical shift in business jet demand, which could impact manufacturers' production planning and supply chain management. The forecast suggests that large-cabin jets may be more resilient to economic fluctuations, which could benefit manufacturers like Gulfstream and Bombardier.

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What Happened

Forecast International Predicts Market Shift Amid Strong Demand

According to a new 10-year forecast from US market analyst Forecast International, business jet production is expected to continue climbing through the rest of the decade before a modeled downturn in 2030. The firm projects roughly 7,900 business jet deliveries from 2026 through 2035, with annual output rising from 752 aircraft in 2026 to 830 in 2029, before falling to 604 in 2030 and recovering to 863 by 2035. The report attributes the projected downturn to a historical cycle based on macroeconomic swings and business jet production levels, rather than a specific event expected in 2030. This forecast was first reported by AeroTime.

Source

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JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS
JUMPSEAT
AEROSPACE NEWS

Business Jet Production to Peak in 2029 Before Downturn

Sponsored by: Jumpseat Solutions
Key Takeaways
  • Business jet production to rise from 752 in 2026 to 830 in 2029.
  • Production may dip to 604 in 2030 before recovering to 863 by 2035.
  • Forecast International expects 7,900 business jet deliveries from 2026 through 2035.
  • Large-cabin jets to account for 36.7% of deliveries over the forecast period.
Sign in to view key takeaways Get full access to in-depth analysis and key takeaways.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Key Takeaways.
Upgrade
Strategic Implications

The projected downturn in 2030 may indicate a cyclical shift in business jet demand, which could impact manufacturers' production planning and supply chain management. The forecast suggests that large-cabin jets may be more resilient to economic fluctuations, which could benefit manufacturers like Gulfstream and Bombardier.

Sign in to view strategic implications Get full access to strategic analysis and expert insights.
Sign In
Silver membership required Upgrade to Silver to access Strategic Implications.
Upgrade

What Happened

Forecast International Predicts Market Shift Amid Strong Demand

According to a new 10-year forecast from US market analyst Forecast International, business jet production is expected to continue climbing through the rest of the decade before a modeled downturn in 2030. The firm projects roughly 7,900 business jet deliveries from 2026 through 2035, with annual output rising from 752 aircraft in 2026 to 830 in 2029, before falling to 604 in 2030 and recovering to 863 by 2035. The report attributes the projected downturn to a historical cycle based on macroeconomic swings and business jet production levels, rather than a specific event expected in 2030. This forecast was first reported by AeroTime.

Source

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